By Ray Hickson
Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Canterbury meeting. Selections based on a heavy track.
Race 1 - 1:00PM RANVET HANDICAP (1100 METRES) |
---|
11. Swordplay has looked professional in winning both her trials, showing good gate speed to lead and run them along and coast to the line. Should press forward from the gate and if she produces what she has at the trials she’ll take beating.
Dangers: 5. Lull is a Godolphin filly on debut and while safely held in her latest trial she just cruised to the line in second place. Gets a lot of favours from the gate and has to be included. 7. Miss Lola was a trial winner on the synthetic at Warwick Farm last week over the 740m, doing the job well in something of a blanket finish. Earns respect but may be under the odds. 4. Long Legs has found the line with some purpose in her trials, particularly the latest, and could show up.
How to play it: Swordplay WIN ($3.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
Swordplay wins a Rosehill trial on May 9
Race 2 - 1:35PM BROADSIDING @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1250 METRES) |
---|
4. Proviseur made a promising return at Warwick Farm three weeks ago as he found the line well just behind the placings. Had some there and did run well so if he can improve a length or so from that he’ll be right in the finish.
Dangers: 1. Gunroom has been right on top of the speed in his past two and found one better, coming out of the same race at Warwick Farm in the latest. Has the claim this time and he’ll give another good on the pace. 9. Crusader Voyage was runner-up to Miss Lola in a synthetic trial last week so it’ll be interesting to see how that form holds in the previous. Has the inside and James McDonald so he’ll have his chance. 5. Indigo Star will likely excel over a bit more ground than this but he’s fresh off two handy trials and should be strong at the finish.
How to play it: Proviseur WIN ($6.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Proviseur runs fourth at Warwick Farm on May 7
Race 3 - 2:10PM VANDEEK AT ARROWFIELD HANDICAP (1250 METRES) |
---|
1. Straand Beauty was a beaten favourite first-up at Kembla Grange but did a good job after stepping slowly and working to the front before being reeled in late. Fitter, same grade and weight and if he can get away with them he’ll be in the finish.
Dangers: 10. Mother Goose proved far too strong in scoring at Kembla third-up leading all the way. Finds a perfect gate for a trail, or to lead if desired, and she could go on with it without surprising. 3. Inside Man was a drifter in betting when resuming at Kembla and loomed up in a handy enough return. Can't overlook in the small field. 4. Titanium Miss has found some form again with placings at her last two on wet ground and is worth some thought.
How to play it: Straand Beauty WIN ($2.30 TAB Fixed Odds).
Straand Beauty runs second at Kembla Grange on May 6
Race 4 - 2:45PM EXCEEDANCE @ VINERY STUD HANDICAP (1550 METRES) |
---|
2. Canara has only won one from 16 but has been very good in three placings from four runs this time in and handled the heavy well when a fast closing third at Kensington two weeks ago. Shade unlucky there too. This might be her chance.
Dangers: 1. Just Feelin’ Lucky won impressively at Newcastle first-up then sat outside the lead and was run down by Drift Net at Warwick Farm. Only tried a heavy once and it was at her second start so hard to get a line on that. Go well. 6. Trafalgar Square is always around the mark but is now one from 17. Boxed on well for a Midway placing at Gosford third-up. Only win was here and isn’t to be left out of the chances. 7. Kilkenny put eight lengths on her rivals in an easy maiden win at Kembla a month ago. That was on a good track, had her chance on a soft 7 first-up. Couldn’t dismiss but it’s not an ideal set up.
How to play it: Canara WIN ($8.00 TAB Fixed Odds).
Canara runs third at Kensington on May 14
Race 5 - 3:20PM ASAHI SUPER DRY HANDICAP (1550 METRES) |
---|
7. Hell To Pay looks the one to beat here despite a tricky gate. Solid when resuming at Kensington then sat wide and found the line strongly to do down under half a length there two weeks ago. If he has any early luck from the gate he’ll go very close again.
Dangers: 11. Maximum Dividend hasn’t raced since a solid second over 1900m at this track in November where he bled. Fitter for two trials, won fresh last time in at a mile and has to be kept very safe. 3. Assailant is a big watch at his local debut for the Waterhouse/Bott yard. Trials haven’t really caught the eye and will clearly be better over more ground but if he’s above average this is winnable. 8. Pink Shalala was solid in the market when resuming at Warwick Farm and was a little one paced after having a nice run behind them. Fitter and up to the track and trip of her lone win so is a likely improver.
How to play it: Hell To Pay WIN ($2.80 TAB Fixed Odds).
Hell To Pay runs second at Kensington on May 14
Race 6 - 3:55PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE HANDICAP (1250 METRES) |
---|
1. One Destiny was going well with a win and a third in BM78 grade before leading and fading at Gosford in a good form race on May 10. Back in class here and has a good heavy record so can take running down.
Dangers: 10. Peschiera is an interesting runner coming off a good track win at Sandown second-up where she led all the way. Most of her form is on top of the ground so that represents a query but if she’s here it says there’s confidence she will handle a wet track. 7. Kyeema showed improvement second-up when running on into fourth at Kembla Grange. Ex-Hong Kong galloper who might just need one more before stepping to 1400m but worth keeping safe. 3. Clever Art has a handy fresh record and is okay on wet tracks. Nice enough trial and has some claims.
How to play it: One Destiny WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds).
Race 7 - 4:30PM TAB HANDICAP (1900 METRES) |
---|
10. Kenmare Bay is hovering around a win and was far from disgraced after being flushed out early when third at Kensington two weeks ago. He draws nicely, handles the track and the trip is no worry. Gets another chance to break through.
Dangers: 9. Dynamic One comes through the same race and he sat handy before boxing on to run second. Is 1kg worse off at the weights but has to be included. 12. Millie De Lune scored easily on a heavy 10 at Newcastle before a solid fourth at Scone up to the mile. She’s racing well and is another with each-way hopes. 1. Natural Deduction made a nice enough return at Warwick Farm over a mile and will appreciate the extra ground. Expect he'll be an improver.
How to play it: Kenmare Bay WIN ($3.60 TAB Fixed Odds).
Kenmare Bay runs third at Kensington on May 14
All the fields, form and replays for Wednesday’s Canterbury meeting